My Reply to “Tun Daim”, msg from a friend from the financial sector….


daim1

LSS Report

DEAR “TUN DAIM”,

This is my reply to you (your message in italics and mine in bold):

Just Sharing a msg from a friend from the financial sector….
Malaysian Currency is expected to depreciate further to RM 4.50 by end of September as Ringgit is not used as currency’s for trading in world stock exchange. Ringgit will stumbled as the govt further cut on export of crude oil due to over over supply.

Currency go up and down. Right now we are at USD1 to RM4.00 but we were at USD1 to RM4.47 at the beginning of the year. Our lives did not change much when our ringgit depreciated from RM3:20 to RM4.00 over the past few years. Neither did we suddenly become richer when our currency appreciated from RM3.73 to RM3 from 2008 to 2012. Similarly, the United Kingdom also did not go bust when the UK pounds depreciated from £1 to RM6.75 in Oct 2015 to RM5.20 just recently.

In fact, a weaker Ringgit allows us to compete stronger as was evidence by our continued improvement in foreign trade and our trade surplus where our manufactured and services industry benefited strongly despite the weakness in GLOBAL oil prices, which is beyond the control of Malaysia. This will help Malaysia further diversify our economy so we will be less dependent on commodity exports.

Everyone should take precaution as this is a economy disasters as a whole. Bank Negara held reserved is only RM101 billion at this moment. But Our debt has climbed to Rm 614,880,270 billion. Which means each tax paying citizen has a debt of Rm18,835. Current advice is Stop investing in any ventures , properties or car. Cash in hand is safe..as Disaster is on the way.

You have the amount of our BNM reserves correct but the currency is wrong. Our current BNM reserves is not RM101 billion but USD101 billion (or thereabouts as it fluctuates too), meaning RM400 billion. I am surprised that a “Tun Daim” would make such a silly mistake.
 
As for our govt debt, don’t just look at the absolute amount but the debt to GDP ratio which means our debt compared to our yearly income. We are at about 54% right now. When Mahathir became PM in 1982, he ramped up this ratio from 40% to more than 100% within 5 years and we didn’t go bankrupt then. Neither will we go bankrupt now at 54%.

READ MORE HERE

 



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